All graphs and tables are calculated at 10:30 AM/PM from data downloaded from COVID-19 in Iowa.
I stream all data analysis and updating live on Twitch starting at 10:15 AM/PM everyday.

Active Infections

Graphed Infections Since 05/15/2020
These infections have been calculated from the State of Iowa’s official data. Actual levels of infection are likely considerably higher, based on positivity values in each county and statewide. The Director of the CDC, Dr Robert Redfield, has stated that viral prevalence is reasonably 10 times higher than what has been revealed through testing.
% Iowans Infected by Day
This percentage is based on the number of active infections out of all Iowans.

The State of Iowa counts Iowans as “recovered” when they have displayed no fever for 3 consecutive days and have had a decrease in other symptoms. Recovered does not mean that all symptoms are gone nor is the person ready to return to life as usual. Many COVID-19 patients can experience post-viral illness for days to months after contracting the infection. The calculation for the above graph is:

Active Infections = Total Positives – (Total Recoveries + Total Deaths)

That means that there might well be more people actively infected in the state and in individual counties than is shown in the graph. On 6/29/2020 the State of Iowa recovered 5158 Iowans. This has been explain as a “data cleanup,” which means that Iowans might have recovered prior to that date but had not been properly noted in the data. On 6/30/2020, the State of Iowa announced via an unannounced press conference that a positive is considered recovered if they have be deemed positive for 28 days and had neither been hospitalized nor able to be contacted.


RMCC Regional Populations & Interactive Map of Iowa

This map contains basic information and phone numbers for county public health departments. Click on a county to open its unique webpage, full of graphs for both daily and cumulative COVID-19 tracking. Each county webpage contains local data for the county as a whole, any long-term care facilities that were/are actively infected, and all school districts that have students from that county.

Statewide Snapshot

24-Hour Values
Cumulative Values
According to the World Health Organization, countries/states/counties with extensive testing should be at a positivity of 5% or lower. A high positivity rate means that testing is revealing predominantly symptomatic positives and might be missing asymptomatic/subclinical positives. Positivity over a 12-hour period should return a similar positivity percentage, provided that enough testing is being done everyday.
Case Fatality Rate
Hospitalizations by Day
This data is sourced from COVID-19 in Iowa in the PDF available below the graphs and table on the first page. It is normally out-dated by at least 2-4 days and is only updated by the state a few days each week. Unfortunately, the data is not as complete as Iowans deserve on the county level.

Statewide Positivity

24-Hour Positivity
State positivity percentages over any given 24-hour period will fluctuate.. This effect is smoothed out by doing an average positivity calculation to see what trend line appears.
14-Day Rolling Average Positivity
There is a large disparity between the 14-day rolling average positivity that I calculate and that of the State of Iowa. When a lab result is imported into the Iowa Disease Surveillance System (IDSS), it already contains the data of the sample collection. The system then adds the data the result is imported into IDSS.

The State of Iowa releases one set of data to the public based on the date the test was imported into IDSS. I calculate the 14-day rolling average positivity based on that dataset. It is a complete 14-day dataset based on the date imported into IDSS.

However, the State of Iowa calculates the 14-day positivity based on the date of sample collection – a variable that is not available to me or other everyday Iowans. Since sample results are reported to the State of Iowa 2 to 10 days after the sample is collected, the State of Iowa is calculating a 14-day positivity based on 10 to 12 days of data rather than 14 days of data. This artificially lowers the 14-day positivity when compared to the positivity that I calculate.

Iowa Department of Education Guidance

None to Minimal Community Transmission (0-5% 14-Day Rolling Average Positivity):
At this level, schools are asked to continue on-site learning following public health guidance, or hybrid learning as necessary based on parent preference and student quarantine.

Minimal to Moderate Community Transmission (6-14% 14-Day Rolling Average Positivity):
At this level, schools are asked to continue on-site learning following public health guidance, or hybrid learning as necessary based on parent preference and student quarantine, and limit some interactions. 
Iowa Department of Education Guidance

Substantial Controlled Community Transmission (15-20% 14-Day Rolling Average Positivity):
Schools are asked to follow hybrid learning plans as necessary based on parent preference and student quarantine. Schools that also have 10% absenteeism among students can request the Department of Education to transition to continuous remote learning for up to 14 days.

Substantial Uncontrolled Community Transmission (>20% 14-Day Rolling Average Positivity): 
Schools can request the Department of Education to transition to continuous remote learning for up to 14 days.

24-Hour COVID-19 Statewide Graphs

24-Hour Iowans Positive
24-Hour Iowans Recovered
24-Hour Iowans Deceased
24-Hour Iowans Tested
Positives and deaths have been tracked since 3/8/2020, as they have been publicly available for the whole pandemic thus far.
Recoveries and tests became available at the county-level on 5/16/2020.

Weekly COVID-19 Statewide Graphs

Weekly Iowans Positive
Weekly Iowans Recovered
Weekly Iowans Deceased
Weekly Iowans Tested
Positives and deaths have been tracked since 3/8/2020, as they have been publicly available for the whole pandemic thus far.
Recoveries and tests became available at the county-level on 5/16/2020.

Cumulative COVID-19 Statewide Graphs

Cumulative Iowans Positive
Cumulative Iowans Recovered
Cumulative Iowans Deceased
Cumulative Iowans Tested
Positives and deaths have been tracked since 3/8/2020, as they have been publicly available for the whole pandemic thus far.
Recoveries and tests became available at the county-level on 5/16/2020.

Testing Graphs

Cumulative Positives & Cumulative Negatives
% Change
Some of this data is missing, as the State of Iowa did not report everyday in the early days of the pandemic.

CDC Reporting for Iowa

Influenza/Pneumonia vs COVID-19 Deaths
The CDC released more weekly data on 11/18/2020. Iowa, at that time, has reported deaths for COVID-19 through 11/7/2020. Whenever that data is sent to and processed by the CDC, I will update these values and this graph.
All Causes Deaths 2015-2020 by Month
While cumulative monthly deaths from all causes in 2020 were similar for January/February/March to previous years, the disparity between expected death levels and death levels during the COVID-19 pandemic became apparent in May 2020. This will unfortunately continue to be the case until we have a safe, effective, and widely-utilized vaccine.

Iowa Deaths: ILI/Pneumonia (All Types) vs ILI/Pneumonia (Only Viral) 2015-2018

Deaths from influenza-like illness and pneumonia are split into all types and viral only. Deaths from viral ILI and pneumonia are a subset of all ILI/pneumonia deaths, just as natural cause deaths are a subset of all cause deaths.
wdt_ID State Month/Year A00-B99 (Infectious/Parasitic Diseases) C00-D48 (Neoplasms/Cancer) D50-D89 (Hematological Diseases) E00-E88 (Endocrine/Metabolic Diseases) F01-F99 (Mental/Behavioral Disorders) G00-G98 (Neurological Diseases) H00-H57 (Eye/Adnexa Diseases) H60-H93 (Ear/Mastoid Process Diseases) I00-I99 (Circulatory Diseases) J00-J98 (Respiratory Diseases) K00-K92 (Gastrointestinal Diseases) L00-L98 (Skin/Subcutaneous Tissue Diseases) M00-M99 (Muskuloskeletal Diseases) N00-N98 (Genitourinary Diseases) O00-O99 (Pregnancy/Childbirth Deaths) P00-P96 (Perinatal Conditions) Q00-Q99 (Congenial Malformations) R00-R99 (Not Otherwise Classified) U00-U99 (Special Purpose Codes) V01-Y89 (Accidents/War Deaths) Cumulative Monthly Deaths Annual Running Total Deaths J09-J18 (Influenza and All Types of Pneumonia) Running Total ILI/Pneumonia Deaths J09-J12 (Influenza and Viral Pneumonia) Running Viral ILI/Pneumonia Total Deaths (2015-2018)
State Month/Year A00-B99 (Infectious/Parasitic Diseases) C00-D48 (Neoplasms/Cancer) D50-D89 (Hematological Diseases) E00-E88 (Endocrine/Metabolic Diseases) F01-F99 (Mental/Behavioral Disorders) G00-G98 (Neurological Diseases) H00-H57 (Eye/Adnexa Diseases) H60-H93 (Ear/Mastoid Process Diseases) I00-I99 (Circulatory Diseases) J00-J98 (Respiratory Diseases) K00-K92 (Gastrointestinal Diseases) L00-L98 (Skin/Subcutaneous Tissue Diseases) M00-M99 (Muskuloskeletal Diseases) N00-N98 (Genitourinary Diseases) O00-O99 (Pregnancy/Childbirth Deaths) P00-P96 (Perinatal Conditions) Q00-Q99 (Congenial Malformations) R00-R99 (Not Otherwise Classified) U00-U99 (Special Purpose Codes) V01-Y89 (Accidents/War Deaths) Cumulative Monthly Deaths Annual Running Total Deaths J09-J18 (Influenza and All Types of Pneumonia) Running Total ILI/Pneumonia Deaths J09-J12 (Influenza and Viral Pneumonia) Running Viral ILI/Pneumonia Total Deaths (2015-2018)

Background vector created by starline – www.freepik.com
%d bloggers like this: