Infectious Disease Modeling

I am using Omni Calculator to simulate potential increased spread in our communities. I have calculated percentages for susceptible, infected, and recovered and have included population counts for each county. By plugging these numbers into the calculator, you will be able to see what I foresee happening in situations involving current active positives, 5x current active positives, and 10x active positives. For areas with less dense populations, current active positives are most realistic. For areas with metro areas, 5x or 10x are more realistic – especially if we base our models on the early results from Indiana’s randomized COVID+ sampling in April.

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