Demographics & COVID-19


These graphs and charts are updated once daily around 12:30PM.
Note: All values are calculated based on reported percentages from COVID-19 in Iowa, in concert with Case Fatality Rates from Our World in Data and the CDC. The values are subject to change in the future.

Cumulative Positives by Age Groups
Cumulative Recoveries by Age Groups
Cumulative Deaths by Age Groups

Kids & Teens

Cumulative Positives: Kids & Teens (0-17)
Note: I project that kids will comprise approximately 4,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that kids have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Kids & Teens (0-17)
Note: I project that kids will comprise approximately 4,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that kids have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Kids & Teens (0-17)
Note: I have set the scaling for kid/teen deaths based off the world CFRs for kids/teens on Our World in Data, which averaged at 0.1% across 0-9 and 10-19 age groups. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 4 kid/teen deaths out of 4,000 positives.
Comparison: Kids & Teens (0-17)
Note: As of June 2020, there are no deaths in the 0-17 age group. Children tend to experience either very mild disease or severe disease resulting in Pediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome. I am praying everyday that no children die ever during the pandemic.

Adults

Cumulative Positives: Adults (18-40)
Note: I project that adults will comprise approximately 40,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Adults (18-40)
Note: I project that adults will comprise approximately 40,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Adults (18-40)
Note: I have set the scaling for adult deaths based off the world CFRs for adults on Our World in Data, which averaged at 0.26% across 20-29 and 30-39 age groups. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 104 adult deaths out of 40,000 positives.
Comparison: Adults (18-40)
Note: There are so few deaths in the 18-40 age group that they are not visible on this graph currently. Healthy, younger adults tend to experience mild disease and some have no symptoms at all. Unfortunately, some adults succumb to the disease.

Middle Age Adults

Cumulative Positives: Middle Age Adults (41-60)
Note: I project that middle age adults will comprise approximately 35,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that middle age adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Middle Age Adults (41-60)
Note: I project that middle age adults will comprise approximately 35,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that middle age adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Middle Age Adults (41-60)
Note: I have set the scaling for middle age adult deaths based off the world CFRs for middle age adults on Our World in Data, which averaged at 0.85% across 40-49 and 50-59 years old. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 300 middle age adult deaths out of 35,000 positives.
Comparison: Middle Age Adults (41-60)
Note: There are fewer deaths in the 41-60 age group that they are barely visible on this graph currently. Healthy adults tend to experience mild disease and some have no symptoms at all. Unfortunately, some adults succumb to the disease. Researchers are studying case fatality rates worldwide.

Older Adults

Cumulative Positives: Older Adults (61-80)
Note: I project that older adults will comprise approximately 15,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that older adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Older Adults (61-80)
Note: I project that older adults will comprise approximately 15,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that older adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Older Adults (61-80)
Note: I have set the scaling for older adult deaths based off the world CFRs for older adults on Our World in Data, which averaged at 8.20% across 60-69 and 70-79 years old. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 1230 older adult deaths out of 15,000 positives.
Comparison: Older Adults (61-80)
Note: There are more deaths in the 61-80 age group and they are visible on this graph. Older adults tend to experience moderate to severe disease and some require intensive care hospitalization. Unfortunately, a higher proportion of older adults succumb to the disease.

Elderly Adults

Cumulative Positives: Elderly Adults (81+)
Note: I project that elderly adults will comprise approximately 4,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that elderly adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Elderly Adults (81+)
Note: I project that elderly adults will comprise approximately 4,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that elderly adults have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Elderly Adults (81+)
Note: I have set the scaling for elderly adult deaths based off the world CFRs for older adults on Our World in Data, which averaged at 20.20% among 81+ in Italy. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 810 elderly deaths out of 15,000 positives.
Comparison: Elderly Adults (81+)
Note: There are many more deaths in the 81+ age group and they are visible on this graph. Elderly adults tend to experience moderate to severe disease and many require intensive care hospitalization. Unfortunately, a higher proportion of elderly adults succumb to the disease.

Biological Sex

Cumulative Positives by Biological Sex
Cumulative Recoveries by Biological Sex
Cumulative Deaths by Biological Sex

Women

Cumulative Positives: Women
Note: I project that women will comprise approximately 50,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that women have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Women
Note: I project that women will comprise approximately 50,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that women have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Women
Note: I have set the scaling for deaths of women based off the calculated case fatality rates for women in South Korea during their first wave, which has been calculated to 1.4%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 700 women die out of 50,000 positives.
Comparison: Women
Note: There are fewer deaths among women as compared to men worldwide and they are visible on this graph. Women tend to have higher rates of infection, but less severe disease and fewer negative outcomes (not accounting for pre-existing conditions). We should expect fewer women to die than men from COVID-19 in Iowa.

Men

Cumulative Positives: Men
Note: I project that men will comprise approximately 50,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that men have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Men
Note: I project that men will comprise approximately 50,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that men have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Men
Note: I have set the scaling for deaths of men based off the calculated case fatality rates for men in South Korea during their first wave, which has been calculated to 2.1%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 1050 men die out of 50,000 positives.
Comparison: Men
Note: There are more deaths among men as compared to women worldwide and they are visible on this graph. Men tend to have lower rates of infection, but more severe disease and negative outcomes (not accounting for pre-existing conditions). We should expect more men to die than women from COVID-19 in Iowa.

Race

Cumulative Positives: All Races
Cumulative Recoveries: All Races
Cumulative Deaths: All Races

American Indians

Cumulative Positives: American Indians
Note: I project that American Indians will comprise approximately 1,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that American Indians have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: American Indians
Note: I project that American Indians will comprise approximately 1,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that American Indians have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: American Indians
Note: I have set the scaling for American Indian deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for American Indians in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 3.38%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 38 American Indians die out of 1,000 positives.
Comparison: American Indians
Note: Deaths among all people of color are considerably higher than population proportion would suggest. Institutional racism and lack of access to quality health care both increase the risk of death from COVID-19 for American Indians and for all people of color. Iowa needs to protect high risk Iowans.

Asians

Cumulative Positives: Asians
Note: I project that Asians will comprise approximately 7,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that Asians have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Asians
Note: I project that Asians will comprise approximately 7,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that Asians have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Asians
Note: I have set the scaling for Asian deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for Asians in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 1.64%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 120 Asians die out of 1,000 positives.
Comparison: Asians
Note: Deaths among all people of color are considerably higher than population proportion would suggest. Institutional racism and lack of access to quality health care both increase the risk of death from COVID-19 for Asians and for all people of color. Iowa needs to protect high risk Iowans.

Blacks

Cumulative Positives: Blacks
Note: I project that Blacks will comprise approximately 10,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that Blacks have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Blacks
Note: I project that Blacks will comprise approximately 10,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that Blacks have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Blacks
Note: I have set the scaling for Black deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for Blacks in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 1.74%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 175 Blacks die out of 10,000 positives.
Comparison: Blacks
Note: Deaths among all people of color are considerably higher than population proportion would suggest. Institutional racism and lack of access to quality health care both increase the risk of death from COVID-19 for Blacks and for all people of color. Iowa needs to protect high risk Iowans.

Native Hawaiians & Polynesians

Cumulative Positives: Native Hawaiians & Polynesians
Note: I project that Native Hawaiians and Polynesians will comprise approximately 1,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that Native Hawaiians and Polynesians have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Native Hawaiians & Polynesians
Note: I project that Native Hawaiians and Polynesians will comprise approximately 1,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that Native Hawaiians and Polynesians have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Native Hawaiians & Polynesians
Note: I have set the scaling for Native Hawaiian and Polynesian deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for Native Hawaiians and Polynesians in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 4.94%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 50 Native Hawaiians and Polynesians die out of 1,000 positives.
Comparison: Native Hawaiians & Polynesians
Note: Deaths among all people of color are considerably higher than population proportion would suggest. Institutional racism and lack of access to quality health care both increase the risk of death from COVID-19 for Native Hawaiians, Polynesians, and for all people of color. Iowa needs to protect high risk Iowans.

Other Races

Cumulative Positives: Other Races
Note: I project that Other Races will comprise approximately 1,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those of Other Races have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Other Races
Note: I project that Other Races will comprise approximately 1,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those of Other Races have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Other Races
Note: I have set the scaling for Other Race deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for those of Other Races in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 1.61%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 20 members of Other Races die out of 1,000 positives.
Comparison: Other Races
Note: Deaths among all people of color are considerably higher than population proportion would suggest. Institutional racism and lack of access to quality health care both increase the risk of death from COVID-19 for Other Races and for all people of color. Iowa needs to protect high risk Iowans.

Whites

Cumulative Positives: Whites
Note: I project that Whites will comprise approximately 63,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those of Whites have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Whites
Note: I project that Whites will comprise approximately 63,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those of Whites have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Whites
Note: I have set the scaling for White deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for Whites in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 4.47%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 2900 members of Other Races die out of 63,000 positives.
Comparison: Whites
Note: Deaths among White people are proportionally lower in Iowa with regard to the whole population and are also a tragedy.

Ethnicity

Cumulative Positives: Both Ethnicities
Cumulative Positives: Both Ethnicities
Cumulative Deaths: Both Ethnicities

Latinx

Cumulative Positives: Latinx
Note: I project that Latinx will comprise approximately 26,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those of Latinx have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Latinx
Note: I project that Latinx will comprise approximately 26,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those of Latinx have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Latinx
Note: I have set the scaling for Latinx deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for Latinx in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 0.89%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 240 Latinx die out of 26,000 positives.
Comparison: Latinx
Note: Deaths among all people of color are considerably higher than population proportion would suggest. Institutional racism and lack of access to quality health care both increase the risk of death from COVID-19 for Latinx and for all people of color. Iowa needs to protect high risk Iowans.

Not Latinx

Cumulative Positives: Not Latinx
Note: I project that those who are not Latinx will comprise approximately 76,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those who are not Latinx have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Recoveries: Not Latinx
Note: I project that those who are not Latinx will comprise approximately 76,000 positives by 100,000 total positives – provided that those who are not Latinx have behavior similar to March 2020 through June 2020. This value may change sooner or later, based on social modifications and structural changes during the pandemic.
Cumulative Deaths: Not Latinx
Note: I have set the scaling for non-Latinx deaths based off the calculated case fatality rates for non-Latinx in Iowa thus far, which has been calculated to 4.94%. This means, statistically, Iowa should not have more than 3,700 non-Latinx die out of 76,000 positives.
Comparison: Not Latinx
Note: Deaths among the non-Latinx community are an average of individual CFRs based on a multitude of factors.

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